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2024 Autumn Budget - the economic picture

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30 Oct 2024

Within her Autumn Budget speech, Chancellor Rachel Reeves announced that the UK economy will grow by 1.1% this year, 2% next year and by 1.8% in 2026.

According to the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR), the government's official forecaster, inflation is predicted to average 2.5% this year and 2.6% in 2025.

It stated that Budget policies temporarily boost output in the near term, but leave GDP 'largely unchanged' in five years.

It also said that Budget policies increase spending by nearly £70 billion a year over the next five years. Half of the increase is funded through tax rises and the other half by a £32 billion a year increase in borrowing.

The OBR stated that borrowing is projected to rise from £122 billion last year to £127 billion this year and is predicted to fall to £71 billion in 2029. Additionally, net debt falls as a share of GDP, from 98.4% this year to 97.1% by the end of the decade.

Latest news stories

17 Oct 2025

UK will be second-fastest growing G7 economy, IMF predicts

The UK is set to be the second-fastest-growing of the world's most advanced economies this year, according to new projections from the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

16 Oct 2025

UK economy grew 0.1% in August

The UK economy expanded by 0.1% in August, according to the latest figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

15 Oct 2025

Unemployment rate rises as job vacancies fall

Data published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) has revealed that the unemployment rate rose to 4.8% between June and August 2025.

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