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2025 Autumn Budget - the economic picture

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26 Nov 2025

Within her Autumn Budget speech, Chancellor Rachel Reeves announced measures that will raise taxes by £26 billion in 2029/30, including a freeze on Income Tax and National Insurance (NI) thresholds beyond 2028 and a cap on the amount under-65s can put into Cash ISAs.

In its latest forecast prepared for the Budget, the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) outlined that the UK economy will grow at a slower pace than previously anticipated. Economic growth is predicted to be 1.5% this year; 1.4% in 2026; 1.6% in 2027; and 1.5% in 2028.

The OBR stated that lower productivity growth was to blame for the weaker growth forecast.

In its report, the OBR stated: 'We expect quarterly growth to pick up only gradually in the near term as geopolitical uncertainty persists and domestic business and consumer confidence remains subdued, including in anticipation of further tax rises.'

The OBR published its forecast in error ahead of the Chancellor making her speech to the House of Commons, citing a technical blunder as being the cause. Ms Reeves branded the error as 'deeply disappointing'.

Latest news stories

28 Nov 2025

Chancellor 'choosing to spend more and borrow more', says think tank

In its response to the 2025 Autumn Budget, the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) has stated that Chancellor Rachel Reeves is 'choosing to spend more and borrow more' than she previously said she would.

27 Nov 2025

View our 2025 Autumn Budget Report

Chancellor Rachel Reeves delivered her 2025 Autumn Budget speech yesterday, outlining a range of financial measures.

26 Nov 2025

2025 Autumn Budget - what to expect

Chancellor Rachel Reeves will present the 2025 Autumn Budget today. We will keep you up to date on the key Autumn Budget announcements and supply a summary, which will appear on our website.

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